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[IRCA] NZ4O "Daily" Condensed HF/6M Radiowave Propagation Forecast
- Subject: [IRCA] NZ4O "Daily" Condensed HF/6M Radiowave Propagation Forecast
- From: "Thomas F. Giella" <thomasfgiella@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx>
- Date: Sat, 7 Jul 2012 10:55:56 -0400
The NZ4O "Daily" Condensed HF/6M Radiowave Propagation Forecast has been 
published on Saturday July 07, 2012 at 1400 UTC and is valid for the next 24 
hours.
This daily condensed HF/6M radiowave propagation forecast can also be found 
at http://www.wcflunatall.com/dailycondensedhfprop.htm , 
http://www.facebook.com/pages/SolarCycle24org/139198369462931 and 
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/spaceweather .
The complete MF/HF/6M 7 day period radiowave propagation forecast can be 
found at http://www.solarcycle24.org .
This radiowave propagation forecast is provided free of charge to the radio 
hobby communities but donations are graciously accepted. You can donate by 
going to http://www.paypal.com and clicking on the "Send Money" tab. My 
Paypal ID/email address is thomasfgiella@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx .
NOTE! This HF/6M radiowave propagation forecast covers all continents and 
all hemispheres.
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GLOBAL HF CONDITIONS BY BAND-
BAND:                         DAY -> NIGHT
80, 60 Meters: Poor -> Fair
40, 30 Meters: Fair-> Fair To Good
20, 17, 15 Meters: Good -> Fair To Poor
12, 10 Meters: Poor To Fair -> Poor
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GLOBAL HF CONDITIONS BY BAND-
BAND:                         DAY -> NIGHT
80, 60 Meters: Poor To Fair -> Good
40, 30 Meters: Fair -> Good
20, 17, 15 Meters: Good -> Good
12, 10 Meters: Fair To Good -> Poor
HF Propagation Forecast Scale-
Excellent S9+1 Or Better
Good S7-S9
Fair S4-S6
Poor S1-S3
None S0
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GLOBAL HF CONDITIONS BY LATITUDE-
Low Latitude- Low Normal
Mid Latitude- Low Normal
High Latitude- Low Normal
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GLOBAL HF CONDITIONS BY LATITUDE-
Low Latitude- Low Normal
Mid Latitude- Low Normal
High Latitude- Low Normal
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE SHORT PATH 80, 60 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE SHORT PATH 80, 60 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE SHORT PATH 40, 30 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE SHORT PATH 40, 30 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE SHORT PATH 20, 17, 15 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE SHORT PATH 20, 17, 15 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Good
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE SHORT PATH 12, 10 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Poor To Fair
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Poor To Fair
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Poor To Fair
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Poor To Fair
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE SHORT PATH 12, 10 METERS-
East -> West To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
West -> East To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
South -> North To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
North -> South To 2000 Mi/3200 km- Fair To Good
Note!!! At times propagation conditions on 10 meters will be Good, via the 
less predictable Sporadic E (Es) and trans-equatorial (TE) propagation modes 
which involve the F2/3 layer.
HF Propagation Forecast Scale-
Excellent S9+1 Or Better
Good S7-S9
Fair S4-S6
Poor S1-S3
None S0
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE VIA LONG PATH-
80, 60 meters
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross 
Equatorial propagation conditions greater than
2000 mi/3200 km.
Low Latitude- Fair To Good
Mid Latitude- Fair To Good
High Latitude- Fair To Good
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE VIA LONG PATH-
80, 60 meters
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific propagation 
conditions greater than 2000 mi/3200 km.
Low Latitude- Good
Mid Latitude- Good
High Latitude- Good
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE VIA LONG PATH-
40, 30 meters
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross 
Equatorial propagation conditions greater than
2000 mi/3200 km.
Low Latitude- Fair To Good
Mid Latitude- Fair To Good
High Latitude- Fair To Good
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE VIA LONG PATH-
40, 30 meters
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific propagation 
conditions greater than 2000 mi/3200 km.
Low Latitude- Good
Mid Latitude- Good
High Latitude- Good
HF Propagation Forecast Scale-
Excellent S9+1 Or Better
Good S7-S9
Fair S4-S6
Poor S1-S3
None S0
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE VIA LONG PATH-
20, 17, 15 meters
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross 
Equatorial propagation conditions greater than
2000 mi/3200 km.
Low Latitude Fair To Good
Mid Latitude- Fair To Good
High Latitude- Fair To Good
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE VIA LONG PATH-
20, 17, 15 meters
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross 
Equatorial propagation conditions greater than
2000 mi/3200 km.
Low latitude- Good
Mid Latitude- Good
High latitude- Good
FORECASTED NORTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE VIA LONG PATH-
12, 10 meters
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross 
Equatorial propagation conditions greater than
2000 mi/3200 km.
Low Latitude- Poor To Fair
Mid Latitude- Poor To Fair
High Latitude- Poor To Fair
FORECASTED SOUTHERN HEMISPHERE GREAT CIRCLE VIA LONG PATH-
12, 10 meters
(TA) Trans Atlantic, (TI) Trans Indian, (TP) Trans Pacific and cross 
Equatorial propagation conditions greater than
2000 mi/3200 km.
Low Latitude- Fair To Good
Mid Latitude- Fair To Good
High Latitude- Fair To Good
Note!!! At times propagation conditions on 10 meters will be Good, via the 
less predictable Sporadic E (Es) and trans-equatorial (TE) propagation modes 
which involve the F2/3 layer.
Magnetic Equator-
Low- 0-25 degrees
Mid- 25-60 degrees
High- 60-90 degrees
http://www.wcflunatall.com/geomagneticequator.gif
HF Propagation Forecast Scale-
Excellent S9+1 Or Better
Good S7-S9
Fair S4-S6
Poor S1-S3
None S0
GLOBAL 50000-54000 KC (6 METERS) PROPAGATION MODES EXPECTED FORECAST-
F2- None
Sporadic E (Es)- Yes, northern hemisphere Es season is underway
Aurora E High Latitude- Yes
Aurora E Mid Latitude- No early, Yes later
Troposphere Ducting- Yes
Trans Equatorial (TE) F2/F3- Yes
Meteor Scatter- No, excluding random meteors, lightning bolt plasma 
channels, space junk and alien spacecraft
Meter Band Equivalents
Ham           SWL
160              90
80                75
60                60
40                49, 41
30                31, 25
20                22, 19
17                16, 15
15                 13
12, 10          11
FORECASTED GLOBAL LIGHTNING NOISE (QRN)-
Northern hemisphere low latitude regions can expect VERY HIGH thunderstorm 
lightning induced QRN tied to summer season
proximity to the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and tropical warm 
core low pressure systems.
Northern hemisphere mid latitude regions can expect HIGH TO VERY HIGH 
thunderstorm lightning induced QRN tied to summer
season cold/warm/occluded fronts and associated extra-tropical cold core low 
pressure systems, as well as tropical warm core low pressure systems.
Northern hemisphere high latitude regions can expect MODERATE TO HIGH 
thunderstorm lightning induced QRN tied to summer
season cold/warm/occluded fronts and associated extra-tropical cold core low 
pressure systems.
Southern hemisphere low latitude regions can expect HIGH thunderstorm 
lightning induced QRN tied to winter season proximity
to the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) as well as cold/warm/occluded 
fronts and associated extra-tropical cold core low
pressure systems.
Southern hemisphere mid latitude regions can expect MODERATE TO HIGH 
thunderstorm lightning induced QRN tied to winter
season cold/warm/occluded fronts and associated extra-tropical cold core low 
pressure systems.
Southern hemisphere high latitude regions can expect LOW TO MODERATE 
thunderstorm lightning induced QRN tied to winter
season cold/warm/occluded fronts and associated extra-tropical cold core low 
pressure systems.
Lightning Induced Noise (QRN) Forecast Scale-
Very High >+1 db Over S9
High- S7-9
Moderate- S4-6
Low- S1-3
None- S0
Note! I use error prone RAW public domain data from the NOAA Space 
Environment Center, as well as other U.S. government organizations, to 
produce my radiowave propagation forecast. This data is gathered and made 
public by the U.S. Government using taxpayer $$$. However the propagation 
forecast that I produce from the RAW public domain data is my personal 
intellectual property. Therefore this propagation forecast contained herein 
is copyrighted © 1988-2012 by Thomas F. Giella, NZ4O. Reproduction of and 
distribution of the propagation forecast herein is allowed without advanced 
permission as long as proper credit is given.
Also space weather forecasting is still an inexact science. The forecasts 
are not official but for hobby related purposes only and are subject to 
human error and acts of God, therefore no guarantee or warranty implied.
73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, NZ4O
Lakeland, FL, USA
thomasfgiella@xxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
NZ4O Amateur & SWL Radio Autobiography: http://www.nz4o.com
NZ4O MF/HF/6M (600-6 Meters) Radiowave Propagation Forecast: 
http://www.solarcycle24.org
Harmful Man Induced (Anthropogenic) Climate Change (Global Warming) Refuted: 
http://www.globalwarminglie.org
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